Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.007542 2.105878 2.210775 2.331804 2.468660 2.619946 2.801763
2025-11-02 1.875450 1.997434 2.132263 2.294310 2.486624 2.711532 3.000961
2025-11-09 1.793953 1.931281 2.087002 2.279959 2.517763 2.809059 3.207143
2025-11-16 1.731704 1.879966 2.051522 2.269446 2.546701 2.900460 3.411800
2025-11-23 1.678625 1.834705 2.018310 2.256421 2.567753 2.979720 3.607524
2025-11-30 1.645674 1.810657 2.007931 2.269190 2.620636 3.104321 3.887252
2025-12-07 1.583810 1.748161 1.946242 2.211293 2.572974 3.080977 3.930601
2025-12-14 1.547928 1.715792 1.920251 2.197672 2.583721 3.141661 4.120404
2025-12-21 1.511025 1.680482 1.888617 2.174204 2.578036 3.175829 4.269245
2025-12-28 1.497892 1.674129 1.893309 2.199182 2.642524 3.324268 4.661776
2026-01-04 1.490770 1.674785 1.906663 2.236172 2.726908 3.515044 5.200559
2026-01-11 1.469307 1.656147 1.893590 2.235041 2.752897 3.610064 5.565120
2026-01-18 1.448795 1.638899 1.882735 2.238010 2.787965 3.730683 6.060052
2026-01-25 1.416153 1.604781 1.847821 2.204240 2.761657 3.734530 6.245838
2026-02-01 1.393070 1.582456 1.828013 2.191411 2.768071 3.801107 6.651774
2026-02-08 1.372579 1.562893 1.811190 2.181975 2.779050 3.877869 7.142445
2026-02-15 1.352429 1.543187 1.793434 2.170160 2.784909 3.944893 7.654458
2026-02-22 1.341466 1.535290 1.791577 2.181942 2.831549 4.104783 8.710106
2026-03-01 1.309447 1.498490 1.748386 2.128864 2.761587 4.000055 8.458910
2026-03-08 1.292146 1.481104 1.731964 2.116375 2.762640 4.055388 9.084034
2026-03-15 1.272637 1.460327 1.710221 2.094804 2.746148 4.068686 9.514751
2026-03-22 1.268285 1.459860 1.717034 2.117795 2.811385 4.284726 11.656215
2026-03-29 1.267459 1.464076 1.730519 2.151784 2.899818 4.580640 16.084379